The general belief is that England must win against West Indies and then wait for other Group matches (South Africa-Bangladesh and India-West Indies matches) to know their fate. But, if we see the current standings and effect of those two matches, with just a win, England can reach the next round just on their own, without depending on the result of any other match.
Bangladesh, West Indies and India are the teams who can stop England from reaching the quarter-final. But with a big push against West Indies, England can at least knock one of these teams out of the race.
If England wins, it will have 7 points. That will be equal to India’s points and India has better Net Run Rate.
Bangladesh and West Indies are on 6 points each, with one match remaining.
Considering Bangladesh defeats South Africa, it is through to the next round with 8 points. That leaves India-West Indies match as the knock out match to finalise final four teams of the Group B.
If England wins against West Indies but lags behind India in NRR, then following three scenario help them reach next round:
Bangladesh loses to South Africa
India defeats West Indies, leaving them stranded at 6 points that is less than England’s total points.
West Indies defeats India with a margin that makes India’s NRR lesser than England.
Why Not Reach Quarter-final on Own Result
England can write their fate if they register a thumping win against West Indies, and can earn the quarterfinal place without having to wait for any other match of Group B.
If they manage to cross the current Net Run Rate of India, which is not a huge difference, then India must win against West Indies to reach quarterfinal, and if that happens West Indies will be left stranded on 6 points fighting for their survival in the tournament. Whatever happens to other teams, England can have a relaxed break till their Quarter-final match, then.